Why You Should Buy Falkland Island Oil Shares.
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I don't claim to be an expert on the stock market, nor am I a stockbroker, but even I can see that a very good investment right now would be to buy as many Falkland Island Oil & Gas shares as you can afford. My parents have both recently invested in some Falkland Island Oil & Gas shares, and already the shares have gone up by a significant amount. This hub is to explain to you why buying these shares is likely to be a very profitable investment, especially if you do so before February 2010, at which point there is an excellent chance the share prices will shoot through the roof.
20 years ago, geologists confirmed that an oil field the size of the North Sea lies off the coast of Falklands. Scientists believe there is an estimated 60 billion barrels of oil under the Falkland Islands coastal waters. The estimated amount of oil has already led to the British financial sector pouring around £327 million into the off shore projects.
Testing a well drilled by Shell ten years earlier, British firm Rockhopper Exploration (LSE: RKH) discovered a vast natural gas deposit – one that may even be as big as 7.9 trillion cubic feet. And with oil majors looking to return to the Falklands now that oil is no longer only $10 a barrel, this remote region is suddenly a hotspot for oil exploration again.
Oil companies had last drilled in the Falklands in 1998, but stopped when wells were not seen as financially viable because of low oil prices. That situation has changed and drilling for oil in the Falklands now makes economic sense because of the current highoil prices.
David Hudd, chairman of Falkland Islands Holdings and vice-chairman of Falkland Oil and Gas, told The Sun Newspaper: "The benefits are potentially huge for the companies involved, the Falkland Islands and for Britain ."
Currently the world's biggest oilfield is Ghawar in Saudi Arabia. Ghawar is thought to contain 80 billion barrels. The largest oilfield in the North Sea is Forties , which has five billion barrels.
Falkland Island Oil and Gas Share Prices from 01 March 2009 to 01 January 2010.
Falklands Oil and Gas has secured the backing of resource giant BHP Billiton. Initial drilling is now planned in the North Basin for the first quarter of 2010. With an already affluent population of about 3,000, Falklanders are now anticipating a windfall that could make them one of the richest populations on the planet.
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Two wells were drilled on Rockhopper licences during 1998 by Shell, who held the licences at that time. One recovered live oil, the other encountered significant quantities of gas. Rockhopper raised £50 million by way of an equity placing during late 2009 and will now participate in 5 wells during a drilling campaign in 2010 using the Ocean Guardian.
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Heated talk in private investor chatrooms is that the Falklands will prove to be one of the last great frontier oil provinces of the world, a region so rich in hydrocarbons that it might eclipse the UK's North Sea oil and gas bonanza.
Falkland Islands Map
Petroleum Summary
This is a petroleum province in its infancy;
There are several under-explored and undrilled basins;
The Falklands have a world-class source rock;
Several working petroleum systems have been proven;
Only 6 wells – all in very small area – all tested same play;
Live oil has been recovered to surface;
There are numerous undrilled targets > 200 MM bbls;
The Falklands have top quartile fiscal terms;
New licences and farm-ins are available;
The Falklands promote easy data access;
There are benign drilling conditions.
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Information courtesy of www.bgs.ac.uk/falklands-oil
Falkland Oil share prices doubled in 2009 as the prepararations began to start drilling in the East Falklands Basin during the first half of 2010.
The company Desire Petroleum (DES) is expected to embark on a drilling programme in the Falklands in early February 2010 after announcing the departure of its Ocean Guardian rig from the Cromarty Firth in Scotland in early December. So far it has agreed a deal with its exploration partner Rockhopper Exploration to sell on two option wells in the region. Explorers such as Borders & Southern, Rockhopper and Falkland Oil and Gas (which is up around 45% since tipped by moneyweek.com in July 2009) are raising money to fund drilling programmes expected to start in February 2010.
Early in February 2010 the towering frame of the Ocean Guardian drilling rig is due to arrive. An anchor-handling tug and a platform supply vessel are on their way. Due to dock in Port Stanley in the next few days are two cargo ships carrying 14,000 tonnes of equipment.
A storage yard is under construction, modular office buildings are being assembled, helicopters are arriving to ferry rig personnel to and fro, and the helicopter re-fuelling facility at Cape Dolphin – last used during the previous round of oil drilling in 1998 – is being restored.
There is a sharp sense of anticipation and excitement in the Falkland Islands. Within a few short months their future could be transformed. It all depends upon whether that oil, so often speculated about, can now be found.
That this could be one of the biggest investment stories of the year is no secret. Bold investors have been placing their chips on the table for the last two years.
Falkland Oil & Gas Prices Nov 2009 to Jan 2010
About the Falkland Islands.
The Falkland Islands comprise some 340 islands, located approximately 480km from the nearest point in South America. The two largest islands are East and West Falkland. Stanley, the capital, lies on the eastern shore of East Falkland. The total land area covers approximately 12,000 sq km.
The islands have no indigenous population and the current population of approximately 3,000 is predominantly of British descent, some 2,000 of whom live in Stanley, the only town.
GovernmentThe Falkland Islands are an oversea territory of the UK. Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II is the Head of State and is represented by the Governor who presides over the Government of the Falkland Islands and is advised in the exercise of his functions by an Executive Council of three of the eight elected Legislative Councillors and two ex-officio members (the Chief Executive and the Financial Secretary).
The democratically elected Legislative Council has legislative powers, but responsibility for defence and foreign affairs rests with the British Government.
The Big Four Falklands Oil Shares
Desire Petroleum (LSE:DES): Desire holds licences in the shallow waters of the North Falklands Basin. It has contracted the Ocean Guardian drilling rig. It expects to drill four wells, starting in February. Evaluation of its top ten prospects has indicated prospective recoverable resources of over three billion barrels (boe).
Rockhopper (LSE:RKH): Rockhopper is the largest licence holder in the North Falkland Basin. It has indicated a possible 4.3bn boe in its licence area. The Ocean Guardian will drill two wells on its wholly-owned blocks.
Borders & Southern (LSE:BOR): Borders & Southern holds a 100% interest in five production licences in the South Falkland Basin. It has been cagey about how much oil could be here, referring only to “multiple targets”. The biggest of these could contain over 1bn boe. It has also alluded to the contiguous Malvinas and Magallanes Basins to the west where discoveries of six billion boe have been reported.
In November Borders & Southern raised £113m, enough to finance the drilling of three wells. It may yet bring in a partner and it has also hinted at “sharing with other operators in the region”. This is likely to mean Falkland Oil & Gas. This is partly because Borders & Southern‘s licences are in the deep waters to the south, but also because Desire and Rockhopper have already secured their rig.
Falklands Oil & Gas (LSE:FOGL): Having brought in BHP Billiton as a partner, FOGL has an interest of only 49% in its licence areas. But these areas cover an expanse the size of 223 North Sea blocks – more extensive than all the other licences put together. The joint venture plans to use the Ocean Guardian to drill one well at one of the shallower points of its acreage. But the licence areas are predominantly deep water. To drill here it needs to hire a dynamically positioned drillship or semi-submersible, which it hopes to do later this year.
The real attraction of FOGL is that it claims to have much more oil than the others – a total of 60 billion boe, with its top 20 prospects holding over 30bn boe. For that reason FOGL is perhaps the share with the greatest potential.
The important point for investors is that if any of the wells to be drilled this year strike oil, the impact is sure to be felt on the share prices of all the four quoted explorers.
Additional Research Sources Used.
- Falkland Oil and Gas Ltd
- An Update on the Falklands Oil Prospect
The Falklands Oil story: In the wake of the arrival of the huge Ocean Guardian drilling rig, former fund manager, Tom Bulford, talks about which companies are likely to prosper from the oil deposits. - Join the race to claim the Falkland Islands\' oil - MoneyWeek
The seas around the Falkland Islands are believed to contain as much oil and gas as the North Sea. But geology, climate and international relations have all hampered its exploitation. But now explorers are making progress. Eoin Gleeson looks at the s - Falkland Islands oil reserves \'to help British economy\' - Telegraph
The Falkland Islands could help boost Britain's economy thanks to plentiful oil reserves, according to reports. - Company profile of Rockhopper Exploration, a UK company exploring for oil and gas exploration in the
I visited Port Stanley in the Falkland Islands last year, and during our tour talking to the locals it became very apparent that they are truly excited about the oil they have within their waters. These islands may well hold the potential to make a great number of people very rich indeed, but of course, the best time to invest is now, before they start drilling and the oil is pumping, at which point the share prices will no doubt go sky high very fast.
CommentsLoading...
Ha, Misty, regarding your response to Bob, I like your spirit!
I sure wish I had some dough to invest in this, as you point out in your well researched article, the Falklands look like a goldmine. What are current shares at? $175 per? Maybe if they hovered around $10 per I could afford a few!
Hey Misty, since when are oil prices high? My husband and I would like to know, considering we have been in the oil and gas business since the early 80s, lol!
I read bits of this to my husband. He is working on an oil play in Argentina. Hard to write off anything in that area, but we are not familiar with it so we will pass.
Good luck! We will keep an eye on it.
Interesting hub and definitely worth thinking about, thanks for a terrific job researching. More power to your parents for getting in on the ground floor, and hope it works well for them.
There is a lot of natural resources in them there islands. Think there are also considerable gold deposits and other rare and expensive natural resources. Maybe it partly explains the Falklands War.
I think BristolBoy is right the Faulkland war makes a lot more sense now we know these resourses are there. A very well written hub mistyhorizon2003 with some thought provoking issues_well done
I guess if you claim your parents having recently purchased some stock are already in profit then I have to assume that they have also already sold out. "a profit isn't a profit until it's banked"
PS. I hate to spoil the party but there is no gold in them there FI bogs I'm afraid as the company that had the rights to conduct surveys and licences to test for various precious mineral deposits, pulled out a few years back after drawing a blank. (cannot remember their name off hand but google it and see for yourself)
No, there is no gold (at least not in commercial quantities), the company in question was Falkland Gold & Minerals. They pulled out a few years ago, and reversed into a company exploring for oil in the Bahamas called BPC which is currently trading on the AIM market.
They will be drilling the continental shell/platform of Argentina, do you think they will allow this? No way, this is a hiGH RISK investment
Several of the biggest oilrig targets are deep inside Argentina's continental shell...I dont think the UN will remain in silence if Argentina protests. That issue is covered by many treatments signed by both Argentines and British about Economic Exclusive Zones...
Do you think the Navy will act regarding private holdings matters? Do you think Argentina is like Irak, where you just can go and take whatever you want, as USA and GB did, following oil revenues? I think you are dangerously confident...by the way, Im brazilian, and as far as I know, my country, one of the biggest economies of the world, and on its way to be top five, is a Strategic Commercial Partner to Argentina.
Nice! Great post.
For mistyhorizon2003: Was out surfing the net about investing(very new to the trading sceen) and came across your article. WOW. Well done. Since reading it I have been all over doing my DD. But still missing one thing. No matter where i go all tickers point to a company i can't afford. you mentioned to "BEN" that they are around 2.64(us). Would you mind mentioning the ticker you refered that to! Thank you in advance ALMO73
Is there any more tips
hi mistyhorizon2003. You have been most helpful, once again. The true lesson was the difference between pence and pounds! took a little to understand and convert to canadian dollars but I'm understanding and I'm in. Looking at the oil companies more indepth (DD) and their locations(north/south). Falkland Island Holdings (Public, LON:FKL), What are your (anyones) thoughts on this one. Company deals with logistics for the Islands.
Enjoyed the analysis, though I might only add as a guy who invests regularly that speculative investments, and that's exactly what this is, is very risky. So risky that 1) you should not be willing to put down any money on an investment like this you are not fully ready to lose and 2) certainly one should have at least a basic knowledge of stock markets, investment terms, and in the case of the Canadian investor, understanding that foreign exchange rates can dramatically increase one's risk exposure. If you are trading in foreign shares, you best have a very good understanding of not only the market you're investing in (oil as commodity) but also in the state of the currencies of both the country you are investing in as well as the country you are investing from. There are often times foreign tax implications to consider as well.
I'm not trying to discourage anyone. But honestly, if you don't know much about the stock market, you are much better off spreading your risk by investing in say a mutual fund or similar product, depending on what your country of origin offers.
Putting your life savings down on any investment is not what even an expert investor or trader would do. Not in a million years. So, just be careful.
Hi again mistyhorizon2003. Dont know if that last post from Springboard was directed at me or not, but if it was thanks springboard for your comment! Your right. As a new/young trader and very inexperienced I am, well thought, I was looking at every angle till you mentioned the tax implication. Words from the wise are always appreciated. But rest asure as I move forward in the trading world(Canadian) I only dip my toes into it to see how cold it is!
To dive in(life savings) never a good idea. Have been in touch, as suggested, with someone who has a knowlegde base of trading and whom does it regularly. Together we are looking into it. Not sure about the oil and gas company, but if they are successful what do you think about "Falkland Island Holdings". Springboard, i would be really interested in your thoughts. Thanks in advance!
And as you mistyhorizon2003!
Hello... Interesting hub. Perhaps you could do a hub about your trip to the Falkland Islands. I don't think many people get the opportunity to travel there and I would really like to know more about the islanders' way of life.
Hi - interesting but take a look at http://www.rockhoppershares.co.uk - the value of these shares is just not backed up in the media by detail. I'm not worried about Argentina at all; they won't cause a fuss because the worlds cheapest oil will be on their doorstep. Why buy from the Middle East or the US when you can buy it from nearby Falklands at a much lower price than elsewhere?
Mistyhorizon2003 - These will be a great long time investment, they have now found commercially viable oil.
This seems very high risk to me. On principle I do not invest in companies which produce nothing. There are better companies to invest in today, companies which are profitable and which pay dividends.
"this woman Argentinian President"? Do you mean like the woman British Prime Minister who went to war over Las Malvinas? Or,as you prefer, The Falklands? The Bitish occupied many lands and were driven out or left on their own, so I wouldn't be so sure that they would be in Las Malvinas forever. Or as you like to call it, The Falklands.














diogenes 2 years ago
Well (ahem) Cindy, I thought I had an eclectic focus, but I am a mere puling youth when compared to you. The only thing that makes me nervous about that area is having Argentina so close and Britain being perceived as the weak man of Europe if not the world. Certainly this government would do nothing to protect investors...ain't got any bread anyway! Great article as usual...Bob